Conf = Centennial
Nickname = PA Garnet Coach = Pat GressGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.7662888 home-field advantage = -0.70 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 H Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-12, 85.1) 23- 2 221 A Eastern MAC-Commonwlt ( 8-11, 89.6) 16-12 224 H Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 9- 6, 91.3) 21-11 302 A Elizabethtown Landmark (11- 7, 89.1) 22- 8 313 A Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 96.8) 11-14 316 H Arcadia MAC-Freedom (10- 8, 88.0) 17- 5 320 A Stockton CLC (11- 8, 90.8) 15- 6 327 A Muhlenberg Centennial (10- 8, 93.2) 13-12 330 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 7-10, 90.7) 10- 7 406 H Gettysburg Centennial (10- 8, 94.2) 13- 9 410 A Washington College Centennial ( 6-11, 90.4) 18- 7 413 H Dickinson Centennial (17- 3, 95.6) 12-11 417 H Ursinus Centennial ( 7- 9, 91.2) 10- 7 420 A McDaniel Centennial ( 6- 9, 86.6) 16- 8 427 H Haverford Centennial ( 7- 9, 89.6) 17- 7 502 H Gettysburg Centennial (10- 8, 94.2) 12-13 511 N Endicott CCC (16- 2, 94.8) 14- 9 512 A Salisbury CLC (21- 1, 99.6) 7-18
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Widener 23- 2 21 11 0.00 221 A Eastern 16-12 4 5 -1.56 224 H Vassar 21-11 10 5 1.76 302 A Elizabethtown 22- 8 14 5 1.01 313 A Amherst 11-14 -3 -1 -1.34 316 H Arcadia 17- 5 12 8 0.00 320 A Stockton 15- 6 9 4 + 2.66 327 A Muhlenberg 13-12 1 1 -0.91 330 A Franklin & Marshall 10- 7 3 4 -1.40 406 H Gettysburg 13- 9 4 2 1.66 410 A Washington College 18- 7 11 4 + 2.28 413 H Dickinson 12-11 1 0 0.02 417 H Ursinus 10- 7 3 5 - -2.32 420 A McDaniel 16- 8 8 8 0.00 427 H Haverford 17- 7 10 6 0.04 502 H Gettysburg 12-13 -1 2 - -3.34 511 N Endicott 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.02 512 A Salisbury 7-18 -11 -4 - -2.53UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 H Ursinus 10- 7 3 5 - -2.32 502 H Gettysburg 12-13 -1 2 - -3.34 512 A Salisbury 7-18 -11 -4 - -2.53OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 511 N Endicott 14- 9 5 0 ++ 4.02 320 A Stockton 15- 6 9 4 + 2.66 410 A Washington College 18- 7 11 4 + 2.28
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.83 Power Rank................. 14 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 80.79 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 26 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6603 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 45 RPI Rating............... .6445 RPI Rank................... 13 Champ. Probability ...... 3.5 Championship Rank ......... 10 Selection sum ........... 70 Selection Rank ............ 22 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 45. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 14 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 12 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3